Actually, since the beginning of the modern era - that is, approximately a discovery of America - takes the continuous development of mankind, in particular the development of civilization of the white man. Of course, this is done with a few failures and interruptions, but you can quite easily defend the thesis that history past 500 years mankind is a history of growth of energy resources available to white man. First it was sugar imports from the New World and the mining of coal in England. Then the colonization of the Americas and the import of timber, and the food order from the Americas, Australia and New Zealand. Then came the oil and there has been a great flowering of civilization. There were also fertilizers and green revolution. People multiply more slowly than the available energy to mount and quality of life almost constantly grew. This game is over and now we play the new one.
When energy was becoming easier to access its production there was no business sense. It was a difficult business and barely profitable. An example of this is of course the fate of the Polish coal mining and agriculture. Moreover, through these 500 years agriculture has not been a source of safe and good income and a heavy business, which has always existed the possibility of failure. So despite appearances began to happen in the sixteenth century, medieval knights to give, which allowed no material worries of troops available to maintain the call feudal, transformed into a noble estates to the need the care and eternal debt. Nobleman had to take care of business, although the farm allowed the good life. Then it got worse. During the industrial revolution was the best idea is to consume cheaper and readily available energy. Agriculture at that time began to be associated with poverty, though not yet the earth was the determinant of wealth.
And this is the trend, as I foresee, begins to reverse. And actually already turned, but for now very noticeably. On the wave of a global bubble in property prices also increased agricultural land and this is the only market segment, where growth could have something to do with fundamentals.
Besides, can also be extrapolated into the future trends that we see today: the fall in the value of work 'urban' and increase the value of energy resources extracted, no matter what. Growing profitability of recycling garbage, planted forests as well as agricultural crops, and fossil energy coming in cheaper than the other way today, earning unbelievable. Simply - the rules of the game have changed.
There is also another side to this phenomenon, called for smoke crisis. Energy Processors brutal reality faced an increase in its cost (actually a value) and demand destruction. The industrial economy is shrinking slowly, which of course is most visible in her bloodstream or transport. Rates in freight traffic is now such that virtually all transportation companies that are already in debt, must fail. In any event, it certainly applies to those engaged solely in domestic traffic in Poland. Obviously, at some point will leave the possibility of traffic so that everyone will have a seizure and the rate of increase, but the carriers will leave. Together with the goods they carry.
quite obvious in the fall or the standard of living dwellers depend on the transport and industrial economy, at some point the prospect of living in rural areas, providing at least secure a minimum of interruption, be for the lower classes of the city very attractive. Of course, timing is uncertain, but I am pretty firmly convinced that the collapse of industrial civilization has already begun.
symptoms are obvious: It takes a gradual reduction in demand for industrial goods, transportation takes the fall, while prices all forms of energy reaching new records. All - that is, both used to transport oil, coal and gas in power generation, as well as the food necessary for the survival of humanity. And the food, remember, is also processed into fuel.
Subsequent developments is easy to predict: revolts of the urban population, ranging from areas where clean energy expenditure accounts for the largest part of household budgets. That means the total expenditure on food and heating, and heating to the extent necessary for physical survival. Well - in Poland, pure calorie-counting, heating is much greater expense than food, and probably in the transitional period will be less accessible luxury. Ultimately, it will be possible only in the amount of available solar energy for processing. When fossil fuels have already run out ... Again, there is a technological way out - after the solar cells allow for a much better use of solar energy than plants, but also in contrast to the plants require significant energy to produce. And it is necessary to incur expenditure before using them, and it also impossible to measure in a form without fossil fuels. Simply not known whether it is viable photovoltaic energy without consuming fossil fuels. Probably yes, and that gives hope to humanity, but really no one can be sure of that today.
Is there a reasonable way out of this situation? For humanity as a general - maybe. This is connected with the mastery of new energy sources and of course having the resources to implement them in order to replace the existing ones. It's not impossible, but in my opinion, unfortunately, unlikely. This would require the government thinking in the perspective of generations, which seems for at least the option of Western states is absolutely unrealistic.
remains so to think about themselves and their families, as it is much more natural than thinking about the community of the state. And here I prepare quite a large investment, which will allow me, I hope to survive quite nicely coming days, AIW future earning quite well.
In conclusion, let's think about how much energy we can produce, even if this would take the form of someone learning a language that will allow him to effectively use its own resources. Obviously, the more "concentrated energy" product we produce, the more profit can be expected.
A very concerned if someone has a reasonable capital - more detailed-mail.
Besides the occasion above post explains a bit weak activity on my blog in recent times ....
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